Well, a couple more shoes dropped last week. I talked to Bob Achermann at CAMPS about the rumor that CMS had announced dates and he said he had seen “a piece of paper” from one of the accreditation vendors. This led me back to the CMS website and lo and behold there it was. May 14 is deadline to apply for accreditation and October 31 is deadline to be accredited if you want to be a competitive bidder.
This triggers some interesting dynamics for those who are just getting started on the process of preparing for survey. It takes months to prepare so most will not be ready by May 14, but if they apply before they are ready they run the risk of an unannounced survey before they are ready. Undoubtedly we will see a lot of risk takers apply just before the deadline and then cross their fingers or perhaps say an extra prayer.
The October 31 deadline is really immaterial. If you applied on May 14th or before you will probably be surveyed long before then.
The big question for the agencies and those of us who help with preparation is how many are going to show up between now and May 14th. It should be thousands and I am not sure the industry is ready for that. We have an advantage with our web approach because it is much easier to scale up than an on-site approach. The people selling policy and procedure manuals will get an initial rush but many of their clients end up needing more help.
Now all we need are the numbers from the 2007 contracts so people can try and figure out whether the margins are sufficient to support their business models. I would expect a large droput rate and then new providers with newer business models entering the market.
At any rate, let the games begin.